“From Tesla to Trouble: Is Musk’s KGF Era Over?”
π¨ The political bromance between Elon Musk and Donald Trump is officially over.
Once allies, they’re now engaged in a high-profile public feud—and it all started with Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill Act.”
𧨠Impact of the Bill on Elon Musk
π 1. Tesla's Profitability Takes a Hit
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Loss of EV Tax Credits:
Removes $7,500 incentive per car → makes Tesla models less competitive, especially against ICE cars and Chinese EVs. -
Regulatory Credits Vanish:
Tesla earned $2.76 billion in 2024 from selling environmental credits. The bill eliminates this stream.
π Musk’s projected gross margin shrinks from ~18.4% to ~15.4%, a serious drop in an already competitive EV market.
π 2. Stock Price Pressure
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Investors react negatively to policy changes that hurt EV sales and profitability.
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Tesla stock may underperform vs. market or other tech/auto firms in short term.
π» Analysts have already lowered Tesla's revenue growth outlook for 2026–2027.
π°️ 3. SpaceX: Government Risk Exposure
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Musk’s public fallout with Trump puts NASA and DoD contracts at potential political risk.
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If Trump returns to power or influences funding, Musk may find SpaceX’s U.S. government relationship strained.
⚠️ SpaceX currently holds $15B+ in contracts with U.S. agencies.
π️ 4. Loss of Political Influence
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Musk was once a trusted voice in conservative and tech-political circles.
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After publicly attacking the bill—and then Trump himself—he risks:
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Being shut out of policy conversations.
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Losing bipartisan support for Tesla/SpaceX ventures.
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❌ Musk lost his unofficial advisory role (formerly floated as head of the "DOGE" department—Department of Government Efficiency).
π¬ 5. Public Image Fracture
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Right-leaning base: Some feel betrayed by his split from Trump.
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Progressives: Already skeptical of his union stance, now doubt his climate commitment due to Tesla’s pricing war and layoffs.
Here’s why Elon is pushing back hard:
π΄ This is not just politics. It’s a direct economic blow to Musk’s clean energy empire.
π Why This Matters:
This feud isn't about ego—it's about the future of American innovation, EV policy, and the intersection of business and politics.
π‘ Musk's Clean Energy Vision (The Idealistic Side)
Elon Musk has repeatedly positioned his companies — especially Tesla, SolarCity, and even SpaceX — as part of a grand mission-
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Tesla built the world’s largest battery in Australia for grid stabilization.
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Musk advocated for a carbon tax (which would hurt short-term business margins).
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Tesla made its patents open-source to encourage wider EV adoption.
Musk’s clean energy push is also undeniably a business strategy that:
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Has earned billions in government subsidies, regulatory credits, and tax incentives.
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Used hype around sustainability to secure investors and public support.
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Leveraged EV credits to keep Tesla profitable in early years (Tesla made more from selling regulatory credits than from cars in some quarters).
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